Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
42
225Ṁ14k2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
Democrats control Congress
45%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
1.6%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
33%
Republicans control Congress
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia page for the United States Congress: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress.
Independents will be counted based on which party they caucus with.
A tie in the Senate will be resolved by the Vice President's party.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.
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