As of February 2025, prior to any trajectory-altering events, is asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory that will result in it impacting Earth’s atmosphere?
Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification to Resolution Criteria:
Scenario 1: If no attempt is made to redirect the asteroid and no evidence of any trajectory change is uncovered, resolution will be based on the actual impact outcome.
Scenario 2: If the asteroid’s trajectory is known with confidence but changes (e.g., due to a redirection mission) before a projected impact, resolution will be based on the expected trajectory prior to any changes.
Scenario 3: If the asteroid’s current trajectory is not known with confidence and it is unclear whether a redirection occurs, resolution will be based on the best available information.
1,000