Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
12
100Ṁ1307
2032
2%
chance

Look up.

World
News
Science
Space
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

edit: disregard

bought Ṁ100 NO

Considering the preparation for asteroid deterrence, this has got to be less than the probability based on on the orbit

People are also trading

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
1% chance
Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?
2% chance
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
1% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?
6% chance
If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?
47% chance
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
2% chance
James Webb or Hubble telescope observes 2024 YR4 before May 1st 2025
97% chance
Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032
1% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules