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MANIFOLD
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
9
Ṁ1kṀ690
2028
37%
Other
21%
Gavin Newsom
8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Josh Shapiro
7%
Jon Ossoff
7%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Andy Beshear
5%
Kamala Harris

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.

  • The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.

  • If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.

  • In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A.

  • Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).

Background

The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination process will begin following the 2026 midterm elections, with primary season expected to commence in early 2028. The individuals listed are frequently mentioned by political analysts and in polling as potential contenders. Factors influencing the nomination will include political experience, fundraising capability, national name recognition, and the evolving platform of the Democratic Party following the 2024 and 2026 election cycles. As the addAnswersMode is set to ONLY_CREATOR, the list of potential candidates may be updated as the political landscape develops.

Market context
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