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MANIFOLD
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
12
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
2028
30%
Other
29%
J.D. Vance
21%
Marco Rubio
7%
Donald Trump Jr.
7%
Tucker Carlson
6%
Ron DeSantis

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election. The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.

The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination. If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES. If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.

Background

The 2028 Republican presidential nomination process will begin with the primary elections and caucuses, typically starting in early 2028. The process concludes at the Republican National Convention, where the party formally selects its nominee. Potential candidates often emerge based on their national profile, fundraising capabilities, and support from key party factions. As of mid-2026, the field of prospective candidates remains speculative.

Market context
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