More than one cabinet-level nominee rejected by the Senate

More than one cabinet-level nominee withdrawn after being formally nominated

One or more cabinet member appointed by virtue of a recess appointment

Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water

Trump pardons at least one January 6 convict

Anthony Fauci is the target of a criminal investigation by the federal government

More than two bills are passed by Congress and signed by Trump

The US ceases all military aid to Ukraine

The US lifts all sanctions against Russia

JD Vance has to break a tie on a vote regarding a presidential appointment

Trump calls for the elimination of the filibuster

Trump exercises his power under Article II, Section 3, Clause 3 to adjourn Congress

Executive order ejecting transgender people serving in the military

National ban on transgender youth treatment

Any member of the January 6th committee is investigated

Any member of the January 6th committee is prosecuted

What will happen before May 1, 2025? The rules for specific markets are in the comments.

Should there be a dispute, the rules in the comments or those that have been otherwise provided will control over the answer to the question itself.

 While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. The unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

I will message the creator of a market that I do not believe conforms with rule number two on adding answers (that all answers must have clear criteria for resolving) and they will have 24 hours to provide a clear criteria for resolving (I will help create criteria) or else their submission will be N/A'ed. If there is a market that is possibly subject to N/A I will make that clear once I give the 24 hour notice to the creator of the market.

I will subsidize the first 10 to 15 good quality answers. If there is an incredibly high-quality answer, I will also subsidize it. Please see the comments below for more information

Please note: that given the somewhat ambiguous of some markets, I will not trade on this market.