Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
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Ṁ18kFeb 1
97%
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Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
Data source: Met Office Hadley Centre
resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.
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Real probability seems higher than current market.
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