will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
72
1.1kṀ70632030
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the year's average temperature across the world is higher in 2030 than it was in 2023
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
23% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
18% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
65% chance
Will 2030 be the warmest year on record?
38% chance
Will 2023-2027 be hotter than 2018-2022?
98% chance
Will 2060, globally, be warmer than 2010?
89% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
57% chance
Will a new record for average global temperature happen on Earth before 2030?
98% chance
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
91% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2050?
18% chance