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MANIFOLD
Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?
43
Ṁ1kṀ17k
2027
1%
chance

Resolves YES:

There is a successful manned NASA landing on the moon by January 1st 2027.

Resolve NO:

There is no attempted landing, or an attempted landing leads to the death of an astronaut.

Market context
United States
Space exploration
Space
Science
Moon
NASA
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opened a Ṁ170 YES at 7% order

YES order up.

Could you clarify the difference between "manned" and "crewed"? Modern NASA language and style guide uses the word "crewed" in general. Do you specifically mean there must be a man aboard? How will you handle a mixed-gender crew?

@EvanDaniel good catch, I intended it to mean crewed in general.

must there be a human aboard for this to resolve yes?

@mattyb Yes-- altered to add this

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