Currently, mana is only officially convertible into Manifest tickets, poker buy-ins, and charity donations, none of which I sufficiently consider as money. Will someone find a way to consistently convert mana into real money?
The exchange rate may be less than the 1M:1cent charity exchange rate.
The real money must be a top world reserve currency. The trade does not have to be a direct conversion from mana to currency, intermediate stores of value are allowed. The mechanism must be repeatable more than once. No incidental payments, like collecting mana/money as a fee for something else.
Things that would count:
Buying tickets/merch with mana, and reselling them for real money. Must be done multiple times.
Transferring mana to Beeminder honey money, and converting it to money somehow.
Creating a straw project funded through Manifund, for a project that is considered a fraud by most users for the purpose of mana laundering.
Creating a charity, donating to it through https://manifold.markets/charity and withdrawing all of the money from the charity for non-charitable use.
Manifold allows withdrawing mana for real currency.
Things that would not count:
Buying a banana for 10 mana from another user
P2P payments
Converting mana to crypto (but cashing out the shitcoin would count)
Getting a tax credit or deduction for donating mana
Extreme exploits/hacking/breaking the site
Resolves to my judgement, or a council of moderators if I am inactive.
Proof can be private if sent to me