Which one will be the most popular market by the end of 2024
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ1543
Jan 1
80%
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
59%
When will Trump serve time?
40%
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
39%
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
27%
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
15%
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
14%
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
13%
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?

Most popular defined as having the highest total number of traders.

This market resolves according to the total number of traders ranking:
#1 resolves to 100%, #2 resolves to 90%, and so on.

If a listed market has closed, it remains a valid answer. Resolution will be based on the total number of traders of the market at the time of its closing.

If any listed market resolves as NA, that market will be resolved as NA.

Below are the links to the listed markets:
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres

https://manifold.markets/memestiny/will-andrew-tate-be-found-guilty-of

https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned

https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat

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