Which one will be the most popular market by the end of June 2024
Mini
6
229
Jul 2
89%
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
75%
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
74%
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
51%
When will Trump serve time?
47%
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
29%
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
24%
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?
22%
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?

Most popular defined as having the highest total number of traders.

This market resolves according to the total number of traders ranking:
#1 resolves to 100%, #2 resolves to 90%, and so on.

If a listed market has closed, it remains a valid answer. Resolution will be based on the total number of traders of the market at the time of its closing.

If any listed market resolves as NA, that market will be resolved as NA.

Below are the links to the listed markets:
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres

https://manifold.markets/memestiny/will-andrew-tate-be-found-guilty-of

https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned

https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat

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bought Ṁ20 Will Joe Biden win t... YES

@AmmonLam

Is this the ranking within the listed options? Or overall? E.g. currently Sudoku is 4th overall, but not listed. Does the 4th most popular option currently listed resolve to 70%, or does nothing resolve to 70%, bc sudoku isn't listed?

@Ziddletwix ranking is within the listed options