They didn’t specifically say open AI, could be any lab.

@TomNeuburg fair.

I said open Ai.

If people feel strongly they want to extend it to anthropic we can amend the contract but people might get mad. I won’t include Google as they are not a “lab” even though they are much closer to $3t

@AlexanderLeCampbell Google's AI efforts seem to be explicitly concentrated in two labs, Deepmind and Google Brain. I assume they break out revenue in their financial statements to at least that level of detail.

I'm confused by not including google/anthropic; it seems pretty obvious AI2027 was trying nto to say they knew which lab would win, just they thought one would.

@AlexanderLeCampbell if you’re going to include Google, it should somehow be a calculation of only their AI lab value. Anthropic should simply be included.

@DavidFWatson tbf xAI, despite my earlier doubts, has somehow also repeatedly shown itself to be a frontrunner

@TomNeuburg Market says open ai. It also says it was "Inspired by my offer to @ScottAlexander on Twitter". So I did not take this to mean "could be any lab", I bet on this with the understanding that the market description was "open AI" as in the company which made chatgpt.

❤️

China agreeing to AI pause

I don't remember this being in the report, I thought they stole models and did an arms race until their model merged with the US one before turning on us?

@TheAllMemeingEye

Did you read “the deal”? or just “the race”?

@AlexanderLeCampbell in the deal ending didn't the Chinese model let the US model coup the Chinese government in return for being reserved a portion of the cosmos to do its own misaligned goals? The report was pretty long and I didn't read every single sentence, could you point me to the bit mentioning a pause?

I think you have misunderstood the report.

@evan this isn’t Twitter brah, just bet

Does China have to prove they mean it?

@digory fair q. I will trigger YES it even if they agree to a deal/slow down that is not enforced.