This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground in with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
This market is a clone of https://polymarket.com/event/us-military-intervention-by-oct-31
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I really don’t want to.
If there’s one thing that will make resolution troubles worse, it’s people placing massive bets based on how they *think* the market will resolve.
This market will be a pain to resolve.
I will be waiting until the PolyMarket dispute process is completed on the identical PolyMarket market before resolving this market.
I’ll also be reading the comments section here.
I am expecting to resolve this market NO, but I am open to arguments against doing this.