Some political commentators have expressed the possibility of a military coup, if Donald Trump is elected in 2024. Will one occur?
The coup does not need to be successful, it just needs to have military support and be significant enough that multiple major news sources (eg. CNN, Fox, NYT) have reported on it and referred to it as a coup or similar.
This market does not need Donald Trump to have been elected.
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@mattyb If it had had military support, then yes. The coup doesn't have to specifically be against Trump.
@BrunoParga That was the assumption that I saw. A lot of military leaders are against the whole “Trump-y” anti-establishment attitude. There’s also been a lot of anti-white-supremacy cleaning out in the military recently, which Trump supporters have been denouncing for being woke.
I’d make a market about it, but the chance of resolving N/A seems far too high.