Will any other US intelligence agency change their assessment of Covid origins towards a lab origin by the end of 2024?
31
1kṀ3384
resolved Jan 25
Resolved
NO

Recently, the US DoE changed its assessment of Covid origin to lab origin with a "low confidence". Will any other intelligence agency (or US DoE itself) change their assessment towards a lab origin?

Note, this market will resolve if any US intelligence agencies updates their assessment towards a lab origin. This would mean going either from undecided to low confidence (lab), low to moderate confidence (lab), low natural origin to undecided, moderate to high confidence (lab) and so on.

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Resolved no (although it just happened after the deadline https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/cia-believes-covid-originated-lab-agency-low-confidence-118105665)

predictedYES

Added further clarity to the question:

Will any other intelligence agency (or US DoE itself) change their assessment towards a lab origin?

It is obvious jews did covid so the Chinese thing was just a brief troll to admit it came from a lab but somewhere else, and it backfired so they are not doing that again.

predictedNO

@MarkIngraham btw there's a bug, I bought no

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