Will any other US intelligence agency change their assessment of Covid origins towards a lab origin by the end of 2024?
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Ṁ3384resolved Jan 25
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Recently, the US DoE changed its assessment of Covid origin to lab origin with a "low confidence". Will any other intelligence agency (or US DoE itself) change their assessment towards a lab origin?
Note, this market will resolve if any US intelligence agencies updates their assessment towards a lab origin. This would mean going either from undecided to low confidence (lab), low to moderate confidence (lab), low natural origin to undecided, moderate to high confidence (lab) and so on.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Resolved no (although it just happened after the deadline https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/cia-believes-covid-originated-lab-agency-low-confidence-118105665)
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