Will there be scientific consensus that viruses are alive by the end of 2028?
5
100Ṁ288Dec 31
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of now it is debated. If nothing convincing comes out that convinces the majority of the scientific community and/or myself this will resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be scientific consensus that viruses are alive by the end of 2030?
4% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Venus by the end of 2034?
12% chance
Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?
31% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028?
5% chance
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that spike protein shedding was a health risk from the Covid vaccine?
12% chance
Will Science retract the paper on Wuhan wet market COVID origins (Worobey et al. 2022) by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
51% chance
Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060?
14% chance
Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?
38% chance