38% never seems extremely inaccurate. they have a pretty good prototype. and the initial robot will be pretty expensive so they wont have to deal with mass manufacturing in that phase. before 2030 should be at least 80%(cumulative).

@notarealuser True, they seem to be making remarkable progress - and Musk has said they will cost no more than $20K... although he does have a famous habit of exaggerating lol

@AitchKay if musk says it's 20k expect it to atleast be around 100k. boston dynamics atlas starts from 150k.

@notarealuser I agree lol - but practically speaking, I'd guess the Robot would cost roughly the same as a car... so maybe around 40K on launch?

@AitchKay made a market.

Interesting... wonder why so many think never ?!

how does this resolve?

@Dockson When Tesla starts selling the bots...

@AitchKay What if it's never?

@Dockson Good point lol - I guess if Tesla hasn't produced anything by 2030, then they probably never will...