What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
18
343Ṁ18452040
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
2024-2027
9%
2028
6%
2029
82%
2030+
Will resolve N/A if less than 1,000,000 bots are made.
Inspired by: https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1706012058834407608
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
There are two interesting aspects to this. Firstly that this resolves N/A if the answer is never. Secondly and opposed to that, that Elon has never rebranded Tesla, but did rebrand Twitter. I don't think there is any high expectation that he will ever rebrand Optimus, because there was never anyone else like Jack Dorsey that it was imprinted on.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
18% chance
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
2% chance
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
37% chance
Will Tesla sell >1M humanoid robots by 2030?
17% chance
Will Tesla sell 100 million humanoid robots before 2040?
28% chance
How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?
In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?
Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?
60% chance
Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?
39% chance