Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
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https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus
Resolution Criteria: The market resolves "Yes" if Tesla’s Optimus Gen-2 robot is available for general sale by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by an official Tesla announcement or product launch. If the robot is not available by this date, the market resolves "No."
Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2026, at 23:59 PST.
Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For this market to resolve Yes, the Optimus Gen-2 must be in stock and actively shipping to customers. A pre-order phase alone does not qualify.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@predyx_markets Does it have to be in stock and shipping or would a pre-order phase that lasts many years, like with the Roadster 2, qualify?
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