When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?
7
100Ṁ126
2031
8%
2025
21%
2026
24%
2027
5%
2028
4%
2029
3%
2030
35%
Never

currently they have inert Optimus mannequins on display in some retail stores. When will they have real ones?

Elon musk
Tesla
Cars
Self-Driving Vehicles
Automotive
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I'm trying to figure out whether I think the popcorn Optimus at Tesla Diner counts. It's not a "retail store" - it's a supercharger. and it's not "walking around" - it's just standing there. But it's very close.

People are also trading

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2025?
3% chance
Will Optimus robot be able to change a tire on a Tesla car before 2028 ?
+4% 1d58% chance
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
11% chance
Will Tesla have robots for sale by the end of 2025?
3% chance
In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
79% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
32% chance
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2027?
60% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy