Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
70
1kṀ11k
2026
10%
chance

“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”

https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732

This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.

I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.

  • Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their interpretation of productive labor:

    • Robots dancing as entertainers for the human factory workforce would be considered as performing productive labor.

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