In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Plus
24
Ṁ25762034
0.7%
2024
13%
2025
38%
2026
2%
>2030
46%
Resolution Clarifications:
Product rename does not change the outcome, i.e. the bot's name does not need to be "Optimus" for a positive resolution of a specific year
"Other" = Cancellation of the Optimus Program, Insolvency, Significant Change of Design (Humanoid -> 4-legged does not count, humanoid -> 6DoF Arm counts as "Other")
Mass production indicators:
first deliveries
explicit communication of mass production start
announcement of a number of produced "Optimus" Bots that is > x
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What year will Tesla begin sale of their Optimus robot ?
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
34% chance
Will Tesla begin using Optimus Tesla Bots to produce electric vehicles before January 1, 2025?
10% chance
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
28% chance
Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?
55% chance
What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
77% chance