How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?

Question

Market Description:

The Tesla Optimus Robot is a humanoid robot announced by Tesla Inc., and its production cost is a topic of interest. The market options are divided into four categories based on the price range in USD: less than $25,000, $25,000 to $40,000, $40,000 to $100,000, and more than $100,000.

Resolution Criteria:

The market will resolve when Tesla Inc. officially announces the retail price of the Tesla Optimus Robot. The price will be considered in USD. If the price falls within one of the four predefined ranges, the corresponding option will be deemed correct. If Tesla Inc. does not announce the price or the robot does not go into production, the market may not resolve. The source of resolution will be an official announcement or a credible news report confirming the retail price. The market will not consider discounts, subsidies, or region-specific pricing variations. The price considered will be the base price before any optional extras or customizations.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 40k - 100k, followed by 25k - 40k and >100k are most likely. See the market for live updates (36 traders, as of Feb 7, 2026).