Who will I date?

105

836

Ṁ14K

resolved May 31

ALL

0.0%

Austin Chen

0.0%

James Grugett

0.0%

Stephen Grugett

0.0%

Ozzie Gooen

0.0%

Bill Gates

0.1%

ELON MUSK!

0.2%

roon

0.0%

Vlad Sitalo

0.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

0.0%

Vladdyboy Poot-Poot

0.0%

Martin Randall

0.0%

Grimes aka Claire Boucher aka c

0.0%

Raj Thimmiah

0.6%

Misha Gurevich (drethelin)

73%

None of the above

0.0%

Nate Soares

0.1%

Duncan Sabien

Eliezer Yudkowsky

0.0%

Alana (me!)

0.0%

Andrew Tate!

If I go on four or more dates with a submitted name at any point within the next year, I will resolve 'yes' to that name. If I go on four or more dates with more than two names, then I'm still only resolving yes to the first name. If I don't go on four or more dates with any submitted name, will resolve n/a or whatever the equivalent option is. (If I'm not clear who the name refers to, like if there's multiple John Smiths, then I won't select any of them; if it's a common/ambiguous name please include some identifying description, such as a twitter handle!) Also any people who I've *already* gone on a date with in the past three years are names I will not select, even if I go on four additional dates with them.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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21 Comments

227 Trades

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One of these must be mispriced. Really wish we could short free response answers.

@IsaacKing false, you explicitly gave resolution criteria that disagree with the listed resolution criteria here

@SeraphinaNix https://manifold.markets/Alana/did-isaac-just-get-owned-and-roaste?r=QWxhbmE

answered

Andrew Tate!

bought Ṁ10

@JonasKamper this is a troll entry all in good fun.i hope nobody gets offended

bought Ṁ8 of Alana (me!)

Just shooting my shot…

answered

Nate Soares

sold Ṁ20

@GeorgeVii can't get picked: "Also any people who I've already gone on a date with in the past three years are names I will not select, even if I go on four additional dates with them."

sold Ṁ4 of Nate Soares

@Sinclair Ah, good point

answered

Vlad Sitalo

@Sinclair it may also depend on what he picks in his life improvement market.

answered

Vlad Sitalo

bought Ṁ3

unlikely, but likelier than the other Vlad lol

answered

Austin Chen

@Austin this is too high. Are you poly now? If so I need to insider trade your gf market

answered

ELON MUSK!

@agrippa https://manifold.markets/TheresaBarton/aella-girl-will-be-elon-musks-girlf

answered

Martin Randall

@MattP I'm not sure whether to look at the new 0% probability as a vote for my fidelity or a vote against my datability.

answered

Martin Randall

@MartinRandall I can't wait for the eventual free response markets 2.0. Shorting answers, fixed payouts, anti-spam tools, probably free donuts too. It'll be glorious.