Will Austin Chen get a girlfriend at any point in 2022?
77
610
136
resolved Oct 9
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point before the end of the year, my brother @Austin and a woman both consider themselves to be dating each other.
Get Ṁ500 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ547
2Ṁ537
3Ṁ360
4Ṁ284
5Ṁ187
Sort by:
NuñoSempere avatar
Nuño Semperepredicted NO

Congrats!

Sinclair avatar
Sinclair Chen

Nice

Lorenzo avatar
Lorenzopredicted YES

Congratz!

noumena avatar
Rachel Shupredicted YES

Shall Austin find joy on Manifold?
In two trades, a love story told

Charlie avatar
Charlie

@noumena @v in denial

noumena avatar
Rachel Shusold Ṁ26 of YES

@noumena the tips on this make up for me selling 200 shares a week ago 😭

Adam avatar
Adampredicted YES

Mazel tov!

ctat avatar
ctatbought Ṁ20 of YES
I believe in Austin <3
MattP avatar
Matt Pbought Ṁ10 of YES
Never go short on love. You can do it, Austin.
MattP avatar
Matt Ppredicted YES
Clearly Nuño Sempere just hates love.
Austin avatar
Austinpredicted NO
@MattP 💞
MattP avatar
Matt Ppredicted YES
@Austin we're counting on you buddy
Austin avatar
Austinpredicted NO
Et tu, Alice?
Alice avatar
Alicepredicted NO
@Austin Only because of the profile picture!
Alice avatar
Alicebought Ṁ10 of NO
Would be very happy to be proven wrong though!
emmy avatar
Emmybought Ṁ10 of NO
in all seriousness i think signalling affinity with the anime pfp guild is good
Austin avatar
Austinpredicted NO
Aww, thanks Rachel! One more reason to get https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-we-successfully-rent-the-4bed1 I've had this profile picture since high school, it's kind of a test of "if you can't handle me at my geekiest, then..." Clearly hasn't worked out that well :P
noumena avatar
Rachel Shupredicted YES
I will happily take portraits for you Austin! I'm pretty decent at it.
RuthGraceWong avatar
Ruth Grace Wongpredicted YES
Oh yeah, Austin, can you update your profile picture? It's important!
emmy avatar
Emmybought Ṁ10 of NO
anime pfp but not a trans girl = forever alone i dont make the rules
NuñoSempere avatar
Nuño Semperepredicted NO
Can we get a market on whether Austin will ask a woman out by the end of the year? Seems like a good baby step toward resolving this market in the positive. I don't expect myself to know if this happens, so I'd appreciate it if someone closer to him would create the market.
Sinclair avatar
Sinclair Chen
Any dev could print infinite mana, but we shouldn't and don't, so I trust that Austin wouldn't fake-date someone for this market. If he did anyways, I'd just use common sense. I hate Metaculus's pages of resolution criteria. If you dated Austin, I'd revenge hook up with [specific girl Austin likes] :p
noumena avatar
Rachel Shubought Ṁ25 of YES
Market is underspecified and too munchkinable. I will note that as written this resolves YES even if Austin and a woman agree to consider themselves to be dating each other for even one minute for the sole purpose of resolving this market. (Sinclair, how would you feel about me doing this... 😈)
RuthGraceWong avatar
Ruth Grace Wongpredicted YES
Lol invite all your prospects!
Austin avatar
Austinpredicted NO
I don't think you've ever had my cooking, Ruth - how would you know if it's any good? (we should do a potluck sometime!)