Will Austin Chen get a girlfriend at any point in 2022?

610

Ṁ13K

Ṁ136

resolved Oct 9

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point before the end of the year, my brother @Austin and a woman both consider themselves to be dating each other.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot	Ṁ547
2	Austin	Ṁ537
3	Michael Wheatley	Ṁ360
4	Rachel	Ṁ284
5	Tristan Hume	Ṁ187

25 Comments

51 Positions

781 Trades

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Nuño Semperepredicted NO

Congrats!

Sinclair Chen

Nice

Lorenzopredicted YES

Congratz!

Rachel Shupredicted YES

Shall Austin find joy on Manifold?
In two trades, a love story told

Charlie

@noumena @v in denial

Rachel Shusold Ṁ26 of YES

@noumena the tips on this make up for me selling 200 shares a week ago 😭

Adampredicted YES

Mazel tov!

ctatbought Ṁ20 of YES

I believe in Austin <3

Matt Pbought Ṁ10 of YES

Never go short on love. You can do it, Austin.

Matt Ppredicted YES

Clearly Nuño Sempere just hates love.

Austinpredicted NO

@MattP 💞

Matt Ppredicted YES

@Austin we're counting on you buddy

Austinpredicted NO

Et tu, Alice?

Alicepredicted NO

@Austin Only because of the profile picture!

Alicebought Ṁ10 of NO

Would be very happy to be proven wrong though!

Emmybought Ṁ10 of NO

in all seriousness i think signalling affinity with the anime pfp guild is good

Austinpredicted NO

Aww, thanks Rachel! One more reason to get https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-we-successfully-rent-the-4bed1 I've had this profile picture since high school, it's kind of a test of "if you can't handle me at my geekiest, then..." Clearly hasn't worked out that well :P

Rachel Shupredicted YES

I will happily take portraits for you Austin! I'm pretty decent at it.

Ruth Grace Wongpredicted YES

Oh yeah, Austin, can you update your profile picture? It's important!

Emmybought Ṁ10 of NO

anime pfp but not a trans girl = forever alone i dont make the rules

Nuño Semperepredicted NO

Can we get a market on whether Austin will ask a woman out by the end of the year? Seems like a good baby step toward resolving this market in the positive. I don't expect myself to know if this happens, so I'd appreciate it if someone closer to him would create the market.

Sinclair Chen

Any dev could print infinite mana, but we shouldn't and don't, so I trust that Austin wouldn't fake-date someone for this market. If he did anyways, I'd just use common sense. I hate Metaculus's pages of resolution criteria. If you dated Austin, I'd revenge hook up with [specific girl Austin likes] :p

Rachel Shubought Ṁ25 of YES

Market is underspecified and too munchkinable. I will note that as written this resolves YES even if Austin and a woman agree to consider themselves to be dating each other for even one minute for the sole purpose of resolving this market. (Sinclair, how would you feel about me doing this... 😈)

Ruth Grace Wongpredicted YES

Lol invite all your prospects!

Austinpredicted NO

I don't think you've ever had my cooking, Ruth - how would you know if it's any good? (we should do a potluck sometime!)