Will Austin Chen get a girlfriend at any point in 2022?
77
1.2k
136
resolved Oct 9
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point before the end of the year, my brother @Austin and a woman both consider themselves to be dating each other.
Get Ṁ600 play money

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predicted NO

Congrats!

Nice

predicted YES

Congratz!

predicted YES

Shall Austin find joy on Manifold?
In two trades, a love story told

@noumena @v in denial

sold Ṁ26 of YES

@noumena the tips on this make up for me selling 200 shares a week ago 😭

predicted YES

Mazel tov!

bought Ṁ20 of YES
I believe in Austin <3
bought Ṁ10 of YES
Never go short on love. You can do it, Austin.
predicted YES
Clearly Nuño Sempere just hates love.
predicted NO
@MattP 💞
predicted YES
@Austin we're counting on you buddy
predicted NO
Et tu, Alice?
predicted NO
@Austin Only because of the profile picture!
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Would be very happy to be proven wrong though!
bought Ṁ10 of NO
in all seriousness i think signalling affinity with the anime pfp guild is good
predicted NO
Aww, thanks Rachel! One more reason to get https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-we-successfully-rent-the-4bed1 I've had this profile picture since high school, it's kind of a test of "if you can't handle me at my geekiest, then..." Clearly hasn't worked out that well :P
predicted YES
I will happily take portraits for you Austin! I'm pretty decent at it.
predicted YES
Oh yeah, Austin, can you update your profile picture? It's important!
bought Ṁ10 of NO
anime pfp but not a trans girl = forever alone i dont make the rules
predicted NO
Can we get a market on whether Austin will ask a woman out by the end of the year? Seems like a good baby step toward resolving this market in the positive. I don't expect myself to know if this happens, so I'd appreciate it if someone closer to him would create the market.
Any dev could print infinite mana, but we shouldn't and don't, so I trust that Austin wouldn't fake-date someone for this market. If he did anyways, I'd just use common sense. I hate Metaculus's pages of resolution criteria. If you dated Austin, I'd revenge hook up with [specific girl Austin likes] :p
bought Ṁ25 of YES
Market is underspecified and too munchkinable. I will note that as written this resolves YES even if Austin and a woman agree to consider themselves to be dating each other for even one minute for the sole purpose of resolving this market. (Sinclair, how would you feel about me doing this... 😈)
predicted YES
Lol invite all your prospects!
predicted NO
I don't think you've ever had my cooking, Ruth - how would you know if it's any good? (we should do a potluck sometime!)