The resolution criteria for this market depends on whether it is marked with the non-predictive tag at close.

If the market is tagged non-predictive, then it resolves to whether Biden's approval rating on August 31 is more positive than his current approval rating (net 14.3 disapprove). Resolution source will be

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/. If no value is available there for the exact date of August 31, we'll use the closest date afterwards with data available (September or later).

If the market is not tagged as non-predictive, then it resolves to its price at close.

I won't remove or add the non-predictive tag myself, I'll leave it up to the people managing that tag to decide how they want to label this market. Good luck! 🙂

EDIT: After this market was created, a new non-predictive flag was added to the market settings which can potentially be set independently of the original non-predictive tag. Hopefully they won't contradict each other -- if they do, I reserve the right to delay close and/or resolve time until that is fixed. If they still contradict each other after I give up on waiting, I'll resolve to the average of the two resolution criteria.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/FranekZak/will-this-question-be-marked-nonpre?r=QQ

Will this question be marked non-predictive?

Resolved YES. If this question is marked non-predictive and excluded from trader bonuses and leagues, resolves yes. If that doesn’t happen by close time, resolves no.