Will Joe Biden have a positive net approval in his first term?
Basic
27
2.7k
2025
10%
chance

Resolves YES if FiveThirtyEight's Biden approval rating shows Joe Biden with an approval rating higher than his disapproval rating any time between February 23, 2023 and January 20, 2025. Otherwise, resolves NO on January 20, 2025. Resolves N/A if FiveThirtyEight's Biden approval rating tracker is unavailable and market participants cannot agree on a suitable replacement

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