At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?

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2049

15%

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Something like "Siberian Republic" or "Siberian Federation" would also count.

Check out my similar markets about the Sakha Republic, as well as Chechnya

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@wadimiusz Yakut republic?

@KongoLandwalker I guess this wouldn't be enough to trigger a YES resolution, due to how the criterion was phrased.

@wadimiusz Could you make a market about "Yakut something" naming variant? I think it is more likely, and those two markets could go in pair. Both would correlate, but it would reflect what is more important for the people in that part of asia - territory or nation identification.