Will the UN add a new member state before 2030?
21
21
380
2030
77%
chance

This answer resolves to "Yes" if the UN website[1], or any other formal UN communication, adds a new member state. The addition of a new observer state does not count.

[1] https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states

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bought Ṁ50 of YES
Definitely yes. In 2019 the Papua New Guinean government agreed to give Bougainville independence by the year 2027.
predicts YES
Wait, it seems like PNG needs to ratify first.