At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
6
Ṁ3522049
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Chechen republic" and similar stuff would also count.
The purpose of this market is to predict if Chechnya would secede from Russia.
Resolves negatively if the United Nations themselves cease to exist before Chechnya can join them as an independent state.
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