Will there be realistic AI generated video with dialogue by 2024?

AI capabilities (short- and medium-term) [WIP]•AI•Technical AI Timelines•New Year's Resolutions 2024

103

385

Ṁ19K

Ṁ1.7K

resolved Jan 9

Resolved

ALL

Minimum video length of 2 minutes, and must maintain coherence. The visuals, dialogue, and sound must all be of "reasonable" quality: it does not need to be indistinguishable from human made video, but there shouldn't be significant artifacts.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ381
2		Ṁ271
3		Ṁ204
4		Ṁ192
5		Ṁ147

11 Comments

88 Holders

286 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 of NO

"Significant artifacts" is the kicker. Is obvious uncanny valley an "obvious artifact"? What about uncanny valley that's only obvious to people who pay close attention to video quality? Or is the bar for "realistic" much lower than I'm assuming?

@JonathanElliott if it's obviously uncanny valley to me that would not count as realistic.

predicted NO

Does By 2024 mean start of 2024?

What counts as "maintaining coherence"? What prevents the AI system or the user stitching multiple videos together?

bought Ṁ82 of YES

Check this out Pepperoni Hug Spot - AI Made TV Commerical - YouTube AI video is coming.

predicted NO

@VincentLuczkow Does using multiple AIs count?

Is this from a prompt of like "A video of two people having a conversation", or something with more input data, such as the transcript of the dialogue and a starting picture of two people talking to each other?

@Nikola I will accept either of those.

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@vluzko https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jz78fSnBG0s In what ways does this not pass the test? Because of the video creator splicing the clips together?

@Nikola The splicing hurts it, but the main thing is that this is a question about being able to generate many kinds of video, not any video. Think DALL-E 2 but for video with sound (although I do not require the inputs to be purely text)