Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?
Basic
13
Ṁ293
2030
76%
chance

Question closes a year later to determine AI origin if unknown.

Resolves yes if the video is judged likely to be written about in a history textbook as a contributing factor to a major event, such as the outcome of a national election

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Can you provide a candidate definition for “significant impact”?

@GraceKind What do you think of "likely to be written about in a history textbook as a contributing factor to a major event, such as the outcome of a national election"?

@RandallReams Sure, I think that gives me enough info to bet. Thanks!