Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2023?
197
801Ṁ33kresolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a model that receives a natural language description (e.g."Give me a video of a puppy playing with a kitten") and outputs a realistic looking video matching the description.
It does *not* have to be *undetectable* as AI generated, merely "realistic enough".
It must be able to consistently generate realistic videos >=30 seconds long to count.
DALL-E 2 (https://cdn.openai.com/papers/dall-e-2.pdf) counts as "realistic enough" *image* generation from natural language descriptions (I am writing this before the model is fully available, if it turns out that all the samples are heavily cherry picked DALL-E 2 does not count but a hypothetical model as good as the cherry picked examples would).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ517 | |
2 | Ṁ447 | |
3 | Ṁ403 | |
4 | Ṁ353 | |
5 | Ṁ295 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I have a convincing video call with a fully synthetic AI avatar before July 2025?
3% chance
When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?
Will AI generate realistic video of animal movement before 2026?
93% chance
Will YouTube support AI-powered video summarization by 2025?
37% chance
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
34% chance
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
65% chance
Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?
75% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2028?
23% chance