Conditional on the PRC invading taiwan will the united states declare war on the PRC?
27
400แน3753resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note: this market has an over 90% chance to resolve N/A but that's actually a feature, how do markets behave when the most probable result is getting voided.
Note: Something similar to the gulf of Tonkin resolution will count as "declaring war" even if no formal declaration of war is made (since you know nobody officially declares war anymore)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Australia become militarily involved?
51% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
47% chance
When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
54% chance
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?
If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start?
9% chance
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?
79% chance
Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
33% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
10% chance
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
62% chance