Will IMDb's top 10 films change at all between 16th of September 2023 and the end of 2033?
11
1kṀ840
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
YES

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ144
2Ṁ29
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ4
5Ṁ2
Sort by:

Resolve @mods subject no longer viable

Not sure what the right call is. There are two competing ways to resolve the market:

1) Look at the IMDB top-10 on Dec 31, 2033 and see if it's different than what is was in September 2023.

2) Find any moment between 2023 and 2033 where a different movie appeared on the top-10.

The creator hasn't specified. However, the wording "at all", and the fact that we don't have to wait 10 years to resolve it, makes interpretation (2) appealing. In that case, it would resolve YES, since Dune 2 briefly appeared on the top-10 list. IMDB no longer makes ranking histories available, but it can be found on waybackmachine on, say, March 5, 2024, where Dune 2 is showing in position 10:
https://web.archive.org/web/20240305212647/https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/?ref_=nv_mv_250

@Tsunombie Alright:

  • "change at all" means it changes at any point in time for any period of time -- we don't have to wait until the end of 2033

  • Your wayback machine shows:

    1. Shawshank

    2. Godfather

    3. Dark Knight

    4. Godfather II

    5. 12 Angry Men

    6. Schindler's List

    7. Return of the King

    8. Pulp Fiction

    9. Fellowship of the Ring

    10. Dune II

  • Today, the same page shows the same order for the first nine, but the tenth is now Good Bad and Ugly.

So, it has changed between 2024-03-05 and 2025-01-09, resolves Yes.

Images for reference:

I like this question, but the creator appears inactive, and the initial top-10 list that's being used for comparison is not clear. I created this market as an alternative:

If I sort by "Ranking", I get this list:

1. The Shawshank Redemption

2. The Godfather

3. The Dark Knight

4. The Godfather Part II

5. 12 Angry Men

6. Schindler's List

7. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

8. Pulp Fiction

9. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring

10. The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Is this the correct way to sort?

What was the top-ten list as of September 16, 2023?

And here is the link, by the way: https://m.imdb.com/chart/top/?ref_=chttentp_ql_3

To clarify — is this top 10 highest rated?

predictedYES

@thesash yes, top 10 highest rated.

predictedYES

@DavidI Would you be willing to look at my list above, and see if it matches yours from September 16th 2023?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules