Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=8.5 on IMDB by 2030?
20
1kṀ686
2030
40%
chance

Written, animated, and directed by AI

Human prompt and final cut selection allowed

AI
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Relatively few human-crafted movies make that quality bar, so this seems like an easy no, provided you don't expect superintelligent AGI.

People are also trading

Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=8.0 on IMDB by 2030?
50% chance
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2030?
72% chance
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.5 on IMDB by 2028?
27% chance
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?
45% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
50% chance
Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?
37% chance
Will an AI-created movie have 100mm views by 2028?
94% chance
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
18% chance
Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
7% chance
Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
34% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy