After first publishing their top 100 movie list, the AFI released an update in 2007 which removed some movies and shuffled the positions. If the AFI makes another list, how will they order their top 100 movies?
Each option above is from the 2007 list, and will resolve to a percentage determined by the eventual position. If the movie is removed from the future list, it will resolve to 100%.
1st movie resolves to 1%
2nd movie resolves to 2%
...
100th movie resolves to 100%
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AFI%27s_100_Years...100_Movies_(10th_Anniversary_Edition)
Some information from last time:
The following films from the 1998 list were left off the 2007 list:
39. Doctor Zhivago (1965)
44. The Birth of a Nation (1915)
52. From Here to Eternity (1953)
53. Amadeus (1984)
54. All Quiet on the Western Front (1930)
57. The Third Man (1949)
58. Fantasia (1940)
59. Rebel Without a Cause (1955)
63. Stagecoach (1939)
64. Close Encounters of the Third Kind (1977)
67. The Manchurian Candidate (1962)
68. An American in Paris (1951)
73. Wuthering Heights (1939)
75. Dances with Wolves (1990)
82. Giant (1956)
84. Fargo (1996)
86. Mutiny on the Bounty (1935)
87. Frankenstein (1931)
89. Patton (1970)
90. The Jazz Singer (1927)
91. My Fair Lady (1964)
92. A Place in the Sun (1951)
99. Guess Who's Coming to Dinner (1967)
Added to the 2007 list were:
18. The General (1926)
49. Intolerance (1916)
50. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2001)
59. Nashville (1975)
61. Sullivan's Travels (1941)
63. Cabaret (1972)
67. Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? (1966)
71. Saving Private Ryan (1998)
72. The Shawshank Redemption (1994)
75. In the Heat of the Night (1967)
77. All the President's Men (1976)
81. Spartacus (1960)
82. Sunrise (1927)
83. Titanic (1997)
85. A Night at the Opera (1935)
87. 12 Angry Men (1957)
89. The Sixth Sense (1999)
90. Swing Time (1936)
91. Sophie's Choice (1982)
95. The Last Picture Show (1971)
96. Do the Right Thing (1989)
97. Blade Runner (1982)
99. Toy Story (1995)
Of the 77 films that remained on the list, 36 improved their ranking, 38 saw their ranking decline, and three kept their positions: Citizen Kane, The Godfather Part II, and The Best Years of Our Lives.
The oldest film to be dropped was D. W. Griffith's The Birth of a Nation (1915), from #44. The oldest film to be added was Griffith's Intolerance (1916) (#49).
The newest film removed was Fargo (1996), the newest added The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2001), which is also the only film on the list released after 1999.
The highest-ranked addition was The General at #18. The highest-ranked removal was Doctor Zhivago (#39).
Related questions
@strutheo do you think movies removed i should put to 0? so that people have to hard predict it ? or should i just make it 100 so people can bet them higher and the ones at the top are more likely to drop off? idk what is more intuitive here
@strutheo lol idk. probably 100, as their rank is now 1XX
@strutheo I think 100 because if you resolve 0 then the movies that are likely to drop off the list would have similar percent to the movies that would rank higher.
here is a question for the traders - if a movie is removed should it resolve to 0, 100, or NA? cc @Joshua
@strutheo Yup agreed with the choice to keep it monotonic, 100% is sensible.
Love the market idea! (Although I doubt we get a new list anytime soon if ever, but I’d love to see it)