Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026
8
Ṁ100Ṁ257Dec 31
82%
chance
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Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026:
Velina’s Foresight for 2026:
1) No hot war between US, China & Russia (sorry to all folks selling doom-and-gloom about WW3)
2) No military attack by China on Taiwan (further rise of tensions)
3) No nuclear exchange or direct conventional confrontation between Russia and Europe
https://x.com/i/status/2002804420896039404
Note:
It is maybe unavoidable that resolution will be fuzzy, and based on personal judgement. Most probably there will be an availability bias. I will publish my resolution intention beforehand.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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