Originally from @patio11 who is now less skeptical:

New York Magazine published an articled purporting to be a first-hand account of being scammed for $50,000. That article is available online here: https://www.thecut.com/article/amazon-scam-call-ftc-arrest-warrants.html

Market resolves to Yes if this article receives an editor’s note or other formal written statement by New York Magazine which materially disavows the article. For the purpose of this, anything which rhymes with “This is an opinion piece and as such we take no position on…” is a Yes. Anything which rhymes with “While certain details could not be verified we stand by our reporting and fact checking process” would not trigger Yes by itself.

Market will default resolve to No on January 1st 2025.

I anticipate that most cases of ambiguity will result in a Yes.

This market is not on truth or falsity of underlying claims or on the processes of New York Magazine before or after publication. It is binary on whether they published an extraordinary statement directly renouncing this article. Most forms of renunciation will round to Yes.

As of March 5 2025

One year of chasing later, I am somewhat better informed, and less skeptical, about the account presented. For much more about the sociology of AML controls, FOIAing FinCEN and the NYPD, and walking all over Brooklyn looking for a needle in a bankstack: https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/two-americas-one-bank-branch/