Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 hours before end of 2026?
10
closes 2027
6%
chance

Resolves YES if an article appears in the New York Times discussing a scandal or significant malfeasance at 80,000 hours before end of 2026. This is independent of whether I believe the content of the article to be valid. Else resolves NO.

See also: https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will the term "Vivekmentum" or "Vivek-mentum" appear in the New York Times from 9/12/2023 to 10/12/2023?
Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023?
Will Vox write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Amaryllis avatarAmaryllis
38% chance
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Amaryllis avatarAmaryllis
38% chance
Will the New York Times write a non-negative article specifically about Georgism in 2023?
LarsDoucet avatarLars Doucet
23% chance
Will the climate crisis be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
38% chance
Will the 2021-2023 global energy crisis be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
66% chance
Will the 2020-present global chip shortage be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
42% chance
Will UAP have more searches than AGI at the end of June 2024?
FranklinBaldo avatarFranklin Baldo
57% chance
Will “e/acc” (Effective Accelerationism) be the subject of a major TV network news segment in 2023?
CourtlandLeer avatarCourtland Leer
18% chance
Will there be a software security incident caused by the new .zip TLD before the end of 2024?
braulios avatarbraulios
53% chance
Will there be more Nature articles published in 2023 compared to 2022?
AlexanderSumer avatarAlexander Sumer
78% chance
New York Times article about UK Foundation Model Task Force in 2023?
Will there be a second TIME cover article mentioning MIRI in 2023?
TrueCrypt is safe to use in 2023?
Will the Pakistan economic crisis be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
35% chance
Will the Peruvian political crisis be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
27% chance
Will the Lebanese liquidity crisis be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
34% chance
Will the spy close the year 2023 in green?
MeherHarshith avatarMeher Harshith
83% chance
Will the NACC hold a public hearing as part of an investigation into Anthony Albanese by 30 March, 2024?
a_l_e_x avatarAlex
43% chance