
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 hours before end of 2026?
10
closes 2027
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ150 +1409.5%
New probability
7% +0.5%
Resolves YES if an article appears in the New York Times discussing a scandal or significant malfeasance at 80,000 hours before end of 2026. This is independent of whether I believe the content of the article to be valid. Else resolves NO.
See also: https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s
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