Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
8
1kṀ1789Dec 31
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Major" here will refer to any outlet with a Wikipedia page.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will I publish 30 substacks in 2026?
75% chance
Will I be engaged or married at the end of 2026?
39% chance
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
30% chance
Will I publish 2 blog posts a month every month in 2026?
67% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025?
54% chance
Will I have a PhD by the end of 2026?
5% chance
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Will I make an article before the end of the academic year?
41% chance
Will I be alive at the end of 2026?
95% chance