
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
12
1kṀ2642027
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an article appears in the New York Times discussing a scandal or significant malfeasance at Centre for Effective Altruism before end of 2026. This is independent of whether I believe the content of the article to be valid. Else resolves NO.
See also: https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s-c10c60e6e5e0
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Does it have to be a new scandal, or can it be an already existing one that is nonetheless revisited (for instance, there are further updates such as additional lawsuits, resignations, etc.)?
@Meta_C If the NYT writes an article about a scandal at CEA, I will resolve YES, regardless when the scandal in question took place.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?
5% chance
Will Vox write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Vox write an article about a scandal at 80,000 hours before end of 2026?
8% chance
Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?
35% chance
How many "big" NYT headlines will there be in 2026?
48.8
Will 60 Minutes run the postponed "Inside CECOT" report by June 2026?
42% chance
Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
28% chance
Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?
15% chance
Will cavin ward-caviness still be at the EPA by EOY2027
45% chance