🍎What will happen in September 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
133
5kṀ58kresolved Oct 1
Resolved
YEStesla catches fire as reported by news or tesla-fire.com
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YESweb3isgoinggreat has at least 25 posts this month
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YESat least one xkcd comic with no stick figures in it
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YESA YouTube video specifically about Septimius Severus, septicemia, sap, soup, or timber is posted and gets >1M views
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YESHarris debates Trump
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YESEagles win in Brazil
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YESFederal Reserve cuts interest rates
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YESFederal Reserve cuts interest rates by half a percent
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YEShurricane makes landfall in florida
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YESYudkowsky and jimmy carter and noam chomsky all alive at end of month
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YESapple largest company at end of month
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YESHarris debates Trump and wins the first debate, as judged by chris (@strutheo)
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YES>= 26% of respondents believe that weak AGI has been achieved in the monthly poll
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YESLarge tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
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N/AAlan's Conservative Countdown declares that AGI has been achieved
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N/Aa second Trump assassination attempt
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NOThe monthly "Has weak AGI been achieved" Manifold poll regresses, with less YES from the August 2024 result
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NOIran declares war on Israel, or already considers itself at war
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NOTumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
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NOAlan's Conservative Countdown to AGI meets or exceeds 90%
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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