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MANIFOLD
📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
77
Ṁ775Ṁ4.9k
Dec 31
98.5%
GTA VI Release
94%
MLB World Series won by the National League team
93%
GOP loses control of the House
84%
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
69%
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
62%
New FKT record for the Appalachian Trail
25%
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
22%
Assassination of an African head of state
17%
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
16%
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
16%
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
15%
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
13%
Joe Biden dies
12%
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
9%
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
9%
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
8%
Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce
8%
North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death
8%
pope leo dies
7%
H5N1 pandemic declared

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'H5N1 pandemic declared', the declaration is assumed to be by the USA.

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A man has died after falling from a rollercoaster at a Six Flags amusement park on Monday in the US state of Georgia.
Investigation might take months before we know whether it is due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause?
Focus in media seems to be on restraints and total of 11 rides have been closed.
Does this stay open until investigation completed?

@ChristopherRandles will give it some time to confirm

@ChristopherRandles will give it some time to confirm

@strutheo If a pilot tries to nosedive a plane, is that a hijacking?

Ethiopian Airlines Flight 702 - Wikipedia
The aircraft, an Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 767, was hijacked by the unarmed co-pilot, Hailemedhin Abera Tegegn, en route from Addis Ababa to Rome.

"is the unlawful seizure of an aircraft by an individual or a group"
Well attempted murder is "unlawful" I would hope and a change of direction/destination seems like a seizure.

bought Ṁ51 YES

Chat GPT 6 releases 4 Sept

GPT 6 can resolve @strutheo

bought Ṁ44 YES

@strutheo According to Wikipedia, there have been three of these this year: one before the market was created, one the week after the market was created, and one last month. Resolves YES.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_States_in_2026

bought Ṁ184 NO

@strutheo isn't this just no?

Does Iran's Supreme Leader count as a Head of State? (Media and Wikipedia don't seem to have a definitive view on this - I'd lean towards yes but it's not unambiguous.)

bought Ṁ7 YES

#coolfold 😎

@strutheo wut?

@strutheo (Israel-Hamas Ceasefire) is this referring to the start of another period of conflict then another ceasefire - the current one doesn’t count in its current state? or is it asking if the ceasefire is maintained until the end of the year?

edit - not sure why it removed the quote from the comment - apologies!

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