📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
56
Ṁ750Ṁ3.1kDec 31
90%
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
90%
GOP loses control of the House
80%
GTA VI Release
75%
Chat GPT 6 releases
68%
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
66%
MLB World Series won by the National League team
64%
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
62%
New FKT record for the Appalachian Trail
62%
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
56%
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
51%
Assassination of an African head of state
44%
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
44%
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
36%
Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone
33%
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
32%
Joe Biden dies
30%
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
30%
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
26%
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
24%
Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'H5N1 pandemic declared', the declaration is assumed to be by the USA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Sort by:
@strutheo (Israel-Hamas Ceasefire) is this referring to the start of another period of conflict then another ceasefire - the current one doesn’t count in its current state? or is it asking if the ceasefire is maintained until the end of the year?
edit - not sure why it removed the quote from the comment - apologies!