README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)
Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of ceasefire:
Any ceasefire qualifies, including those limited to infrastructure and energy.
This means no matter the focus, if a ceasefire is announced it is counted.
1,000Hmm. Third dune movie officially announced
https://9meters.com/entertainment/movies/dune-3-messiah-starts-filming-this-year-with-a-confirmed-release-date-already-set-for-december-18-2026
โDune: Messiah,โ the highly anticipated conclusion to Denis Villeneuveโs epic adaptation of Frank Herbertโs โDuneโ saga, is officially set for release on December 18, 2026. Warner Bros. confirmed the date, giving fans a target to look forward to.
Not sure when this happened. May have been 13 Feb 2025 but I think I looked since then (mid March?) and found suggestions of a December 2026 release date but it didn't seem officially announced just Denis Villeneuve comments about filming to start soon. It seems the 18 Dec 2024 date has been known since June 2024 but it wasn't sure what film it was to be.
Perhaps it still isn't officially announced. Grok thinks
As of March 31, 2025, Warner Bros. has not officially confirmed the production of a third Dune movie ...
Warner Bros. has reserved a December 18, 2026, release date for an unnamed Denis Villeneuve film
So I am not sure if Warner Bros have confirmed 18 Dec 2026 date to be a Dune film as per 9 meters or if that is them just generating articles claiming they know stuff when it isn't really official. It may still not be officially announced. Or it may have happened circa 13 Feb 2025? Or maybe there will be a more official announcement in future? Guess we wait to see what happens.
@ChristopherRandles yeah ive seen the rumors and they confirmed castings but i dont think its been unveiled officially as a project yet, just all the pieces coming together and there is a chance it can fall apart
@strutheo Nintendo Direct happened today: https://www.nintendo.com/us/nintendo-direct/3-27-2025/
@strutheo
Seems like Russia and Ukraine have both agreed and announced it.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/trump-hold-call-with-putin-test-deal-making-strength-2025-03-18/
Putin ordered the Russian military to stop attacks against energy sites after speaking with Trump, the Kremlin said.
...
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said his country would support the proposal to stop strikes on energy facilities and infrastructure for 30 days.
@strutheo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y2nvezdnwo
Russia and Ukraine have agreed to a naval ceasefire in the Black Sea in separate deals with the US, after three days of peace talks in Saudi Arabia.
Washington said all parties would continue working toward a "durable and lasting peace" in statements announcing the agreements, which would reopen an important trade route.
Hmm Resolved tariff one but not the Mardi Gras one?
@strutheo
24 F9 launches with IM-2 launch a few minutes ago
1 (failed) starship launch
@strutheo
"reportedly start filming this summer ahead of a reported release date of December 2026."
Seems rather vague and not officially announced?
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/dune-3-messiah-movie-release-date-b2701380.html
But if there is lots of information and timeline for filming and release, is there a risk that it is never officially announced? Guess there still has to be some official confirmation?
@ChristopherRandles oops yes... Sorry I was on mobile can you fix @mods . Also can we change it so I can unresolve stuff longer than an hour ago
@strutheo although Feb 13 passed it has definitely NOT been fat tuesday / mardi gras. Not sure which takes precedence