๐Ÿ—“๏ธ2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (7 DONE)
โž•
Plus
24
แน€9931
2026
8%
EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras - Feb 13
13%
the first Lunar eclipse of the year
15%
Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year
17%
EOD Ides of March - Mar 15
25%
grok 3 release date
27%
the first Solar eclipse of the year
27%
EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5
28%
nintendo switch successor announced officially
31%
EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4
36%
Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year
38%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
41%
Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year
41%
Last day of the NFL draft
43%
windows 12 announcement is made
43%
Skate 4 releases
43%
the first Atlantic hurricane of the season
44%
Manifest 2025 starts
44%
trump enacts new or changed tariffs on mexico
45%
the first Pacific hurricane of the season
45%
manifest 2025 ends

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)


Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.

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@strutheo Did he enact them to start tomorrow then cancel them before they took effect?
Is that a happened or not?

filled a แน€400 NO at 25% order

So if nothing else happens before mardi gras and my "payout on no" is 100, i would get 80?

@ChrisMillsc5f7 I think it will resolve to 7% as some have already happened. Buy it back up!

See the other answers to check whatโ€™s happened already, and heโ€™s added [6 DONE] to the title. Itโ€™s a little unfortunate they stack at the bottom so you need to see all and scroll down to check

@Gen but it says as of 2025.02.01 resolution %s start at 80

@Gen but see comment on 02.01.

reposted

6 done already!

@strutheo 6*12 = 72 seems pretty close to 73 that happened last year. Not sure that is a good reliability assessment of how many this year but perhaps better than the silly AI summary.

Nintendo Direct date 2nd April announced with title as 'Nintendo Direct: Nintendo Switch 2'
https://www.nintendo.com/us/nintendo-direct/archive/?srsltid=AfmBOoqTZbiMAZEaoQXA_A8QleJ6XxnIFrDTIQIPL2Vvuyx2CgTcD6-L
Is that "successor announced officially" now?
or maybe it is only likely to be officially announced on/by 2nd April?

Israel Hamas ceasefire and 1st executive order can resolve
not seeing others but not checked them all

bought แน€10 YES

1k trades reached

@strutheo Do you mean part 86?

Part 84 was uploaded Feb 24th 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZTgU69ZJfc

bought แน€10 NO

@strutheo Perhaps change
"Any events that do not happen by EOY 2024 will be resolved 100% YES."
to
Any events that do not happen by EOY 2025 will be resolved 100% YES
and Ignore AI summary if it suggests first item resolves as 74%, first item resolves as 1%

bought แน€1 YES

NEW YEAR NEW TIMELINE

73/100 happened last year

upgraded to PLUS!!!

bought แน€20 YES

@strutheo
>"Resolution percentages now start at 74% for the next event."

huh?
Ignore the AI summary?

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