πŸ—“οΈ2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (63 DONE)
59
10kαΉ€28k
Jan 1
64%
EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27
65%
zootopia 2 releases
67%
EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26
68%
fourth Knives Out movie announced
71%
Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
72%
onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube
74%
Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 75M views on Youtube
75%
noam chomsky passes away
76%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
76%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
76%
Imu face reveal in One Piece manga
76%
Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)
80%
someone reaches 100k traders on creator leaderboard
81%
trump removes a cabinet member
82%
discord IPO happens
83%
alan greenspan passes away
83%
manifold raises more money
84%
israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will
86%
chinese spy balloon incident reported on news
86%
openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)


Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).

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@strutheo Thanksgiving Day is Nov 27 this year

@jcb 27 my bad this was a copypaste

@strutheo Is this EOD 27th or EOD 28th (it may matter).

@strutheo released 19 Nov 2025

145 Falcon 9 launches plus 5 Starship makes 150 launches reached.
So resolves 62%

bought αΉ€4 YES

Halloween 58%
Last game of the MLB World Series ends 1 Nov 59%
MLB Rookie of the year Nov 11 60%
https://www.mlb.com/news/2025-mlb-rookie-of-the-year-winners

Cy Young later today seems likely to be 61%

@strutheo
Madagascar? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd070pn4g07o
Not sure when this would resolve, does it have to succeed in removing president from power or some other threshold?

Madagascar President Andry Rajoelina said he has fled the country in fear for his life following a military rebellion but did not announce his resignation in a speech broadcast on social media late Monday from an undisclosed location.
https://apnews.com/article/madagascar-coup-rajoelina-soldiers-military-africa-b17e7f78a6b0d4abf82a4a19a7a77a05

Does fled country mean no longer in power?

this is hard to say bc afaik he is the only one claiming it is a coup, other ppl seem to say its just protests, and i cannot find the leader of a faction that would be couping him

the military is rebelling and seems to be on both sides but is that a coup hm

@strutheo https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/madagascar-army-colonel-randrianirina-be-sworn-president-sources-2025-10-15/
Madagascar coup leader says he will be sworn in as president as African Union suspends the country

@strutheo
Grok assessment
https://x.com/i/grok/share/bQmWlFg3nNNJElVbOsCUfOghZ
Overall, the match is strong (about 90-95% alignment), as the core elements of military-led, unconstitutional overthrow are present. The main nuance is the preceding popular protests, which some frame as a "people's uprising" co-opted by the military, but this doesn't negate the coup classification, as similar dynamics have occurred in other cases (e.g., recent Sahel coups).

theconversation.com The international consensus treats it as a coup. aljazeera.com

Seems close enough to me.

@strutheo Seems you may need to make a decision on African coup soon as first game of MLB world series has started and should resolve when you have made a decision.

bought αΉ€22 NO

@strutheo
Bitcoin reached 125k 6 Oct https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morning-minute-bitcoin-makes-smashing-131146460.html
Leif Erikson day 9 Oct and
Nobel peace price winner announced 10 Oct can resolve

opened a αΉ€10 NO at 51% order

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
2nd atlantic hurricane Gabrielle has just formed

opened a αΉ€10 NO at 52% order

@strutheo Humberto is third Atlantic hurricane of season https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/

@strutheo
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/dune-3-denis-villeneuve-timothee-chalamet-release-date-b2785266.html
9 July 2025

Now got an "official title" and 18 Dec 2026 release date. Still think we will get a more official announcement?

youre right they stated production... ill na and make another

Taylor Swift can resolve.

Skate 4 early access date or full release?

@ChristopherRandles the release at end of summer (it wasnt called early access before)

@strutheo
https://www.gamespot.com/articles/skate-release-times-revealed-for-early-access-launch/1100-6534740/
Skate global release times

September 16

  • 10 AM PT

  • The new Skate is a free-to-play, always-online game, supported by microtransactions. Because it's launching in early access, it's not the full experience or necessarily totally balanced. Full Circle said it will embrace fan feedback to shape the game going forward, and add things like new game modes, tricks, leaderboards, party voice chat, and other improvements over time.

  • Is this enough to resolve all your Skate 4 questions?

wow still no atlantic hurricanes?

Erin has formed and could become one, but not yet.

bought αΉ€2 YES

Erin now an Atlantic hurricane, can resolve. (As 48 I think, though I haven't checked many)

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