⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (5 DONE)
58
4.1kṀ15k
2026
99%
English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more
98%
Manifest 2025 happens
98%
Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
78%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
72%
Coyote vs Acme release date is announced
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
60%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
57%
100th spacex launch of the year
51%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
50%
grok 4 releases
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
47%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
41%
Bitcoin BTC reaches $150K USD or more
40%
Chat GPT 5 releases
39%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
39%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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sold Ṁ0 NO

where are people seeing the 'coyote acme' release date? i see the purchase was finalized and that its aiming for 2026, but no firm date

@strutheo why N/A?

@ProjectVictory no longer tracked on stats page

idk if im counting the year as a date for silksong

bought Ṁ693 YES

@strutheo part 1 counted elsewhere

bought Ṁ25 YES

@strutheo according to this article it’s coming out 2027-06-04 https://www.marvel.com/articles/movies/spider-man-brand-new-day-title-spider-man-beyond-the-spider-verse-unveiled-first-look-cinemacon-2025

bought Ṁ150 YES

@strutheo
The iPhone 16e, Apple's new entry-level iPhone, was announced on February 19, 2025, with pre-orders starting on February 21st and general availability beginning on February 28th, 2025

bought Ṁ472 YES

@strutheo
Imports from China already face taxes at the border of at least 10%, after a Trump tariff order that went into effect earlier this month.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8yy3wpn6eo

bought Ṁ682 YES

@strutheo https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20250125-in-pictures-first-deportation-flights-of-trump-s-presidency-arrive-in-latin-america

reposted

made one for next year!

People are also trading

🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (6/100 DONE)
🗓️2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (28 DONE)
Which of these things will occur in Q2, 2025?
Which of these things will I be actively doing at the end of 2025?
Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Will Project 2025 accomplish its plans in 2025?
20% chance
Which of Project 2025's plans come to fruition?
Which of these cities will I visit in 2025?
Which of these four events will happen first? #1
Which of these four events will happen first? #2
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