⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (8 DONE)
60
4.1kṀ16k
2026
96%
grok 4 releases
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
85%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
85%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
82%
100th spacex launch of the year
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
64%
Coyote vs Acme release date is announced
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
47%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
40%
Chat GPT 5 releases
39%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
39%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
37%
Bitcoin BTC reaches $150K USD or more
35%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
31%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
29%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
28%
Taylor Swift announces engagement or marriage

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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