⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (5 DONE)
54
4.1kṀ13k
2026
98%
Manifest 2025 happens
97%
Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube
96%
English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
77%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
68%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
61%
Coyote vs Acme release date is announced
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
52%
100th spacex launch of the year
50%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
50%
grok 4 releases
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
47%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
39%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
39%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
32%
Chat GPT 5 releases
31%
Imu face reveal in One Piece

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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@strutheo why N/A?

@ProjectVictory no longer tracked on stats page

idk if im counting the year as a date for silksong

bought Ṁ693 YES

@strutheo part 1 counted elsewhere

bought Ṁ150 YES

@strutheo
The iPhone 16e, Apple's new entry-level iPhone, was announced on February 19, 2025, with pre-orders starting on February 21st and general availability beginning on February 28th, 2025

bought Ṁ472 YES

@strutheo
Imports from China already face taxes at the border of at least 10%, after a Trump tariff order that went into effect earlier this month.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8yy3wpn6eo

reposted

made one for next year!

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