⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (1 DONE)
46
4kṀ81012026
96%
Manifest 2025 happens
96%
Trump enacts tariffs on china
96%
English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
85%
Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube
70%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
69%
Eric Adams no longer mayor of NYC
69%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
57%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
56%
Chat GPT 5 releases
55%
Spider Man Beyond the Spider Verse release date announced
53%
Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
48%
100th spacex launch of the year
47%
Bitcoin BTC reaches $150K USD or more
44%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
📆What will happen in 2025? [Add Responses]
🗓️2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (9 DONE)
📆What will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Which of these things will occur in Q1, 2025?
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (4/100 DONE)
☘️What will happen in March 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Which of these things will I be actively doing at the end of 2025?
Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Will Project 2025 accomplish its plans in 2025?
17% chance
What will happen before 2026 (in 2025) [ADD RESPONSE]