⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (3 DONE)
51
4kṀ9782
2026
97%
Manifest 2025 happens
96%
English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
85%
Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube
72%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
61%
Chat GPT 5 releases
61%
Coyote vs Acme release date is announced
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
59%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
57%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
55%
Spider Man Beyond the Spider Verse release date announced
53%
Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users
52%
100th spacex launch of the year
50%
Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
39%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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bought Ṁ150 YES

@strutheo
The iPhone 16e, Apple's new entry-level iPhone, was announced on February 19, 2025, with pre-orders starting on February 21st and general availability beginning on February 28th, 2025

bought Ṁ472 YES

@strutheo
Imports from China already face taxes at the border of at least 10%, after a Trump tariff order that went into effect earlier this month.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8yy3wpn6eo

bought Ṁ682 YES

@strutheo https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20250125-in-pictures-first-deportation-flights-of-trump-s-presidency-arrive-in-latin-america

reposted

made one for next year!

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