Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
46
442
1.7K
2060
29%
The Simpsons ends
29%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
31%
Star Citizen released (or company ceases)
32%
2000 Pokemon released (or series ends)
36%
Bitcoin reaches $200K USD
40%
Olympics hosted in Africa
40%
The Centennial Light Bulb burns out
42%
Tom Scott's 'This Video has X Views' reaches 500M views
69%
Human walks on Mars
70%
USA adds 51st state

Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:

  • 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 20%

    ...

  • 10th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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confident about which happens last? set up a limit order

My back of the envelope puts the Tom Scott milestone around 2053.

sold Ṁ5 of Sagrada Familia Chur... NO

TLDR - raising a number implies you think that event will happen LATER (or not at all)

@strutheo I would have participated but I will be refusing because it is independent multiple choice

@Tumbles i was feeling adventurous today

@strutheo It's just so much less enjoyable to interact with and less useful at the same time. I'm on strike

@strutheo You should NA and remake while it's still young. It's a really massive difference

@Tumbles too late maybe next time, i just do whatever the creation options tell me to tbh

bought Ṁ250 Human walks on Mars YES

@strutheo This feels counterintuitive

@JaimeSantaCruz The “yes is no” part. I don’t really understand the difference between independent and dependent MC

@JaimeSantaCruz I didn't either when I made this market haha