Which of these will I achieve during the 2025-2026 school year (by July 31, 2026)?
21
1kṀ9212026
89%
I qualify for TST 2026-2027
69%
I beat Artificial Ascent in Geometry Dash by July 31, 2026
66%
I qualify for Blue/Black MOP 2026
63%
I solve at least one problem with <10 solves on any test involved in USA IMO 2026 selection
59%
I have at least 25 32768s total in 2048 by July 31, 2026
59%
I beat my high score in 2048 by July 31, 2026
50%
I get a gold medal on the 2026 USAMO
35%
I qualify for RMM 2026
25%
I have a girlfriend on July 31, 2026
20%
I qualify for IMO 2026
I live in the United States.
Currently (as of July 31, 2025):
2025 USAJMO: 777 771
2025 TSTST: 770 150 760
13 32768s in 2048
High score 839,504 in 2048; next highest scores 818,284 and 743,252
45% on Artificial Ascent; current hardest Supersonic
No girlfriend; never had girlfriend previously
All 2048 scores are done without undos on 2048verse.com.
A solve on a problem means a score of at least 5 from someone in the USA TST group.
The tests counting for USA IMO 2026 are 2025-2026 TST, 2026 RMM Day 1, 2026 APMO, and 2026 USAMO.
I will not bet on this market.
Update 2025-08-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that the TST cutoff for the relevant year is 30.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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